Empoli vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
REG
0 - 3
EMP
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 1
VER
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 0
EMP
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 0
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
EMP
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRO
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
NOV
20%
27%
54%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
LEO
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |