Empoli vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 1
SIR
74%
14%
12%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 1
EMP
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
2 - 2
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ACP
2 - 1
EMP
50%
22%
28%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 3
UDI
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 5
SPE
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 4
NAP
40%
24%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
PIS
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |