Empoli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 0
SIE
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
3 - 1
PAD
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
EMP
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
TRA
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |