Empoli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 1
EMP
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 0
EMP
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
EMP
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOC
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |