Empoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
INT
4 - 1
EMP
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
EMP
1 - 1
FIO
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 0
EMP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
EMP
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
EMP
2 - 3
LAZ
30%
28%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MES
1 - 2
INT
16%
24%
61%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |