Empoli vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 2
EMP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
EMP
2 - 0
PES
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 2
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
EMP
3 - 1
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
EMP
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAQ
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LAQ
2 - 1
AVI
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 0
FCC
28%
30%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
LAQ
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LAQ
3 - 0
NOC
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |