Empoli vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 3
EMP
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
EMP
0 - 2
USC
66%
17%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 3
SPA
66%
17%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
5 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
43%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
EMP
4 - 1
FOR
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VER
5 - 0
SPA
73%
15%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 3
VER
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
VER
2 - 2
PIS
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
UDI
4 - 0
VER
58%
20%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
VER
3 - 1
VIC
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |