Empoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 0
EMP
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
EMP
0 - 2
BRE
51%
31%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
COS
2 - 0
EMP
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
EMP
0 - 0
AVE
39%
31%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
EMP
1 - 1
BAR
41%
32%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 0
PIA
57%
27%
17%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
SSS
1 - 0
GEN
36%
35%
29%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
47%
30%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
GEN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
25%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |