Empoli vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 1
EMP
18%
24%
59%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
EMP
2 - 0
ACL
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 4
EMP
28%
29%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 3
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
FER
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
FER
1 - 3
NAP
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
FER
2 - 5
SAL
7%
21%
72%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |