Empoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
3 - 0
EMP
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
EMP
0 - 0
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
FCC
0 - 0
EMP
45%
31%
23%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
PES
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 2
EMP
44%
32%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
ASS
59%
26%
16%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
VIC
2 - 0
CAT
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAM
50%
30%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
51%
29%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |