Empoli vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
FIO
2 - 1
EMP
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
PES
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
EMP
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
CES
0 - 1
EMP
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
3 - 1
PES
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
COM
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |