Empoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 2
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
EMP
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 3
SAM
36%
28%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
EMP
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
PES
3 - 2
EMP
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
PAD
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 4
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |