Empoli vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 1
EMP
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TOR
5 - 3
EMP
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 2
GEN
65%
20%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
EMP
2 - 3
INT
20%
25%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ANC
2 - 1
EMP
31%
27%
41%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 2
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 3
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |