Empoli vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 3
EMP
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
EMP
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
EMP
2 - 1
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 1
EMP
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 2
CES
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
JUS
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |