Empoli vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
BAR
0 - 0
EMP
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
EMP
0 - 0
CES
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
EMP
2 - 2
LEC
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 0
EMP
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
EMP
0 - 0
PES
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAD
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
50%
29%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
PES
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
VAR
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAT
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |