Empoli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 0
EMP
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
EMP
31%
29%
41%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
EMP
4 - 0
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
EMP
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
REG
4 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USC
3 - 2
REG
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
REG
1 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |