Empoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
EMP
1 - 4
ACM
23%
25%
53%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EMP
0 - 4
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PES
0 - 4
EMP
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EMP
0 - 0
ROM
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
NAP
2 - 0
EMP
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CES
3 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 1
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |