Emmenbrücke vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
16º
15º
53
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
EMM
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 3
EMM
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 1
MUT
31%
20%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RTK
2 - 0
EMM
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 6
WOH
29%
20%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
FCM
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
CON
29%
23%
49%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
BLA
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
CON
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |