Emmen vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 1
FCE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
FCE
0 - 0
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
FCD
2 - 2
FCE
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
FCE
1 - 1
EIN
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
RKC
0 - 2
FCE
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 1
FCE
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 0
NEC
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 1
EIN
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 1
NEC
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
NEC
3 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |