Emmen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
FCE
5 - 1
WHC
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
TEL
1 - 1
FCE
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
FCE
3 - 3
BVV
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FCE
0 - 1
VVV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 3
HER
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HER
3 - 0
HEL
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
GAE
0 - 3
HER
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
FCD
2 - 0
HER
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
HER
0 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |