Emmen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
TER
0 - 2
FCE
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
FCO
0 - 3
FCE
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
FCE
0 - 0
HEL
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
BVO
1 - 2
FCE
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
FCE
3 - 2
HER
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FCV
0 - 5
EXC
6%
13%
82%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
AZA
4 - 1
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 4
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |