Emmen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
EIN
1 - 0
FCE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
FCE
2 - 0
VVV
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
FCD
1 - 2
FCE
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
TEL
0 - 2
FCE
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
BOS
1 - 1
FCE
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
AZA
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 4
HER
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 2
ZWO
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
HFC
2 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
BVV
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |