Emmaste vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmaste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
NOM
3 - 1
EMM
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EMM
3 - 0
JKJ
66%
18%
15%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 5
EMM
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
0 - 2
NOM
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
EMM
34%
23%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
TDU
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TDU
1 - 2
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
EMM
34%
23%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |