EMF de Carabaña vs Orusco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF de Carabaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
28%
20%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
5 - 0
PEN
73%
15%
13%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDP
41%
21%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TFU
2 - 5
CAR
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
VAL
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ORU
2 - 1
TFU
66%
17%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
4 - 2
ORU
16%
17%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ORU
2 - 1
RVM
38%
21%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
EST
1 - 6
ORU
20%
18%
62%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORU
1 - 3
PAR
54%
19%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |