EMF de Carabaña vs CD Morata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
12.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+234%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF de Carabaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 2
ORU
47%
20%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
28%
20%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
5 - 0
PEN
73%
15%
13%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDP
41%
21%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TFU
2 - 5
CAR
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Morata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TFU
1 - 1
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
4 - 2
VAL
46%
21%
33%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RVM
2 - 0
MOR
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 0
EST
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOR
79%
12%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |