Emérita Augusta vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EME
1 - 1
CDB
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BIE
3 - 1
EME
38%
23%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EME
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
ACE
90%
8%
3%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EME
7 - 0
OLV
87%
9%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 2
CAT
20%
19%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
3 - 2
BIE
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
ATH
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 2
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |