CS Emelec vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
EME
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
1 - 1
EME
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
COL
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |