CS Emelec vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
EME
2 - 1
UCH
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
EME
0 - 0
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
EME
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
EME
4 - 3
COL
49%
21%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
EME
0 - 1
UCO
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1967 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
69%
16%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1967 |
UCO
0 - 3
NAC
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
BSC
0 - 2
UCO
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
EME
0 - 1
UCO
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |