CS Emelec vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
3 - 0
EME
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 1
EME
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
COL
3 - 2
EME
61%
19%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
1 - 2
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1967 |
NAC
3 - 0
EME
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
UCO
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
3 - 1
BSC
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
1 - 2
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |