CS Emelec vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
EME
1 - 0
UCE
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
EME
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
1 - 1
EME
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
COL
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
AME
1 - 0
SFE
50%
22%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
UGA
2 - 1
SFE
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFE
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1976 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
SFE
2 - 3
ALI
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |