CS Emelec vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
EME
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
IVT
5 - 0
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EME
5 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
EME
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
MWA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |