CS Emelec vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
EME
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
FAM
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
EME
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -3 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EME
1 - 0
DEL
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 2
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 1
OLI
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 0
PUM
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 2
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 1
TAC
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |