CS Emelec vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 2
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
1 - 1
EME
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCH
0 - 0
EME
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
EME
1 - 2
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
POR
0 - 3
PEÑ
19%
20%
61%
|
83 | 15 | 68 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEÑ
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |