CS Emelec vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
EME
2 - 1
OCT
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
3 - 1
EME
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
EME
7 - 2
UCO
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1962 |
EME
4 - 2
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
1 - 2
PEÑ
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
JWI
1 - 0
PEÑ
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 0
PEÑ
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1965 |
IND
4 - 1
PEÑ
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
IND
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |