CS Emelec vs Orense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
15º
13º
13
2º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 24 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
0 - 1
EME
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 1
EME
4%
11%
85%
|
79 | 17 | 62 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
0 - 1
ORE
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
3 - 2
BSC
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
ORE
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 1
ORE
11%
21%
68%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 0
AUC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |