CS Emelec vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
OCT
0 - 4
EME
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
4 - 1
EME
30%
21%
48%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
JWI
2 - 1
EME
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
EME
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 2
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
UCO
1 - 0
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
NAC
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |