CS Emelec vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
EME
2 - 1
OCT
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
3 - 1
EME
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
EME
7 - 2
UCO
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
3 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1962 |
EME
4 - 2
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 2
NAC
18%
18%
64%
|
80 | 21 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 0
PEÑ
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1964 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1964 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1964 |
NAC
4 - 2
COL
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |