CS Emelec vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 2
EME
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 3
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EME
3 - 1
FAM
69%
17%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 2
EME
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
FAM
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UCE
6 - 1
MUS
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 2
MUS
51%
28%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |