CS Emelec vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EME
0 - 2
DAN
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
EME
3 - 3
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
EME
3 - 1
DEP
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
EME
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
EME
0 - 0
LOJ
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
6 - 0
MUS
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
AUC
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
OLM
1 - 0
MUS
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TEC
0 - 0
MUS
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 1
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |