CS Emelec vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
AME
4 - 1
EME
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +6 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SFE
1 - 2
EME
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
EME
1 - 2
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
6 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
3 - 0
MWA
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
4 - 1
MIL
97%
2%
1%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |