CS Emelec vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
AUC
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
EME
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
EME
0 - 1
BSC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
EME
3 - 2
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 2
EME
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
FAM
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 1
LIG
39%
30%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
BSC
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |