Primera A Finals Final
Global 1-2
CS Emelec vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
UCE
0 - 1
EME
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
IVT
0 - 1
EME
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EME
3 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
EME
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
LIG
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
IND
2 - 1
LIG
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
LIG
1 - 1
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |