Primera A Finals Final
Global 2-0
CS Emelec vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 1
EME
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
EME
1 - 1
ESP
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
EME
2 - 1
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OLM
2 - 0
EME
39%
30%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
EME
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
5 - 1
FLU
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
LIG
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
7 - 0
RIV
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
LIG
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |