CS Emelec vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
EME
1 - 1
SCI
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
EME
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
EME
3 - 2
LOJ
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
EME
1 - 0
LIG
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 0
JWI
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JWI
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
OPE
3 - 1
JWI
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
JWI
1 - 1
RPO
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
JWI
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |