CS Emelec vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
EME
0 - 1
UCE
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
EME
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ORE
2 - 0
EME
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EME
4 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
ROY
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 0
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
UDV
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BLO
4 - 0
IND
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |