CS Emelec vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
EME
2 - 1
CCP
57%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1967 |
EME
1 - 4
NAC
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
OCT
0 - 4
EME
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
4 - 1
EME
30%
21%
48%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1966 |
IND
2 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 1
GUA
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |