CS Emelec vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 2
EME
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
EME
3 - 0
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 2
EME
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 2
DEL
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FAM
2 - 1
AME
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
LOJ
2 - 2
FAM
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FAM
0 - 0
OLM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ORE
0 - 3
FAM
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |