Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-3
CS Emelec vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 1
EME
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FLU
4 - 1
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAN
83%
12%
4%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
CFC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 1
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |