CS Emelec vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
EME
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
EME
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
EME
1 - 1
DEL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
EME
1 - 2
RIV
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 3
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
MEL
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
SRP
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |