CS Emelec vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
EME
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
EME
1 - 1
BSC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
EME
3 - 1
OLM
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
EME
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
EME
2 - 1
LIG
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
QUI
4 - 3
LIG
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
QUI
3 - 0
BSC
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
OLM
2 - 0
QUI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
QUI
2 - 0
OLM
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |